How to Tell the Difference Between ‘Signal’ and ‘Noise’ in Voter Turnout Numbers or Your Organization’s Metrics My article on LinkedIn


Here is a new article that I posted on LinkedIn… don't worry, it's not political, but it does look at recent voter turnout rates through a statistical lens. And I think it's a lens that's helpful for looking at metrics in our own organizations:

“How to Tell the Difference Between ‘Signal' and ‘Noise' in Voter Turnout Numbers or Your Organization's Metrics”

The article starts:

After the recent midterm elections, Americans have seen headlines that describe how voter turnout “soared” to over 49% and that the number of voters was a “50-year high.” That sounds impressive, but how can we put those numbers into the proper context? Articles published after the 2014 election said that year's 36.7% rate was ” lowest in 70 years” and added that it was lower than 2010 (41%).

The problem with looking at just a data point or two is that we're missing a lot of context . How much does the voter turnout number normally fluctuate from election to election? A “run chart,” as shown below, is visual and helps us better understand how the voting rate looks over time (data is from the United States Election Project).

Click to read more.

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Mark Graban is an internationally-recognized consultant, author, and professional speaker who has worked in healthcare, manufacturing, and startups. His latest book is Measures of Success: React Less, Lead Better, Improve More. He is author of the Shingo Award-winning books Lean Hospitals and Healthcare Kaizen, as well as The Executive Guide to Healthcare Kaizen. He also published the anthology Practicing Lean that benefits the Louise H. Batz Patient Safety Foundation, where Mark is a board member. Mark is also a Senior Advisor to the technology company KaiNexus.

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