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Tuesday, August 26, 2008

Book Update.... and I Don't Understand Amazon

First off, Productivity Press has now shipped all back ordered books that were purchased through their site. Thanks for your patience.... it still shows as "backordered" on their website, but new orders should be shipped promptly. Thanks again to everyone who has ordered and read the book so far.

Now for Amazon.... Amazon.com is a funny animal, at times. I know they have shipped at least a few copies of my book -- to readers in Oregon and New Mexico. One person (oh yeah, North Carolina) said they ordered a copy last week and got it in three days.

I ordered one on July 21, just to test the system, and I still haven't gotten mine yet.

The "expected ship date" for me shows "normally ships in 1 to 4 weeks" if you look at my book's page on amazon. Does it show this way for everyone? Does it depend on what distribution center you're being served by?? There have been times where the date shows as "normally ships in 5 to 7 days" then it goes back to "1 to 4 weeks."

Weird. It really makes me wonder what is going on behind the scenes in the Amazon distribution network...

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Tuesday, May 20, 2008

Everyday Lean: Automated Coffee Ordering

For a little over two years, my wife and I have had a single cup coffee maker, one of those systems that makes an individual cup of coffee (or tea, the real reason we bought it initially) at a time.

I am a real amazon.com power user... they are my "single source" supplier as often as practical. I have almost always ordered my replacement pods through amazon -- fast, consistent delivery and shipping through their frequent customer program.

I recently discovered and took advantage of a "Subscribe & Save" service that they offer. If you're willing to sign up for a frequency of your choice, they ship automatically and give you a 15% discount each time (with no cancellation fees). Not a bad deal as a customer.

Now this isn't a "kanban" system really. This *is* a planned, scheduled "push" from amazon to my house. This is sometimes referred to, especially in hospitals, as a "standing order" system.

My previous set up, where I initiated the order, was a true "pull" -- when inventory got down to a certain level, I'd log in and place a "one click" order. Pretty easy, with no need for a "subscription." I was using a "re-order point" pull system previously.

A standing order system can work if you have very steady and predictable use of an item. The risk with standing orders is that if your usage is high, you'll run out before more is sent. Or, if usage is low, you'll end up with excess inventory. At least here, with the coffee pods, inventory is small and relatively cheap. I'll err on the side of ordering more frequently than I really need to.

The amazon website even told me that I last ordered the pods on February 8th. So, a little over two months. I set up a two month subscription frequency. If inventory is ever piling up, I'll just cancel or change the shipment frequency.

So why would I set up a push system? You'd think I'd be a "lean purist" and only want a pull system. Well, the 15% discount is an incentive to allow that push. And the downside risk is pretty low. I figured it was worth it to at least experiment with system.

What about you? Do any of you subscription type services that automatically deliver a quantity of something to your house? It's sort of like the old "milk man" type service, right? But today, we "pull" milk from the grocery store.

Some other issues that we could explore on this this topic:
  • Which has more waste -- me driving to a store to buy these (or combining the purchase with a broader grocery trip) or taking advantage of the efficiencies of the UPS delivery network?

  • What about the environmental impact of these small plastic coffee pods? At least I am countering that by brewing into a reusable travel mug, which helps cut down on the paper waste at a Starbucks store... of course I could take my travel mug to Starbucks (and they give you a discount for doing that even).


Updated: A few of you asked what single cup brewer I use. We love our Keurig for making both coffee AND tea. It's very fast and convenient in the morning before your commute or any time you don't feel like a full pot of coffee.



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Monday, January 07, 2008

Amazon & Putting Customers First

Put Buyers First? What a Concept - New York Times

I'm a huge fan of Amazon (AMZN), having first ordered a "required pre-reading" book from them in March 1997, before I went to grad school. I've hardly had anything go wrong with an order or a shipment in that decade, but, if something goes wrong, they take care of it without hassle. In a trivial example, my Simpsons Movie DVD was recently shipped in a flimsy paper envelope (instead of a cardboard shipper) and was damaged, so they overnighted another out no questions (with a pre-paid return mailer for my damaged one).

This recent NY Times story talks about their "customer obsession" principle and an example of customer service that was more "costly" in a traditional, short-term sense: a customer ordered a PlayStation3 for her kid's Christmas gift and, apparently, an apartment neighbor signed for it, leaving it (oops!) in their landing.... well, the box got stolen (Amazon box markings will draw attention, eh?). Even though she had no proof and it wasn't Amazon's problem:
After assuring himself that I had never actually touched or seen the PlayStation, he had a replacement on the way before the day was out. It arrived on Christmas Eve. Amazon didn’t even charge me for the shipping. My son was very happy. So, of course, was I.
Pretty amazing choice on Amazon's part, isn't it? Some might say a stupid choice... Amazon absorbed the cost... but probably built life-long loyalty with this customer (who, it turns out, could write about it in the New York Times... I assume Amazon didn't know that).

The article talks about the trade-off between Amazon's long-term view of building customer loyalty and doing what it takes for the customer versus the Wall Street view that costs need to be managed in the short0-term and giving away PS3's is hardly good short-term business.

The NY Times writer continues:
But I couldn’t help wondering if maybe there wasn’t something else at play here, something Wall Street never seems to take very seriously. Maybe, just maybe, taking care of customers is something worth doing when you are trying to create a lasting company. Maybe, in fact, it’s the best way to build a real business — even if it comes at the expense of short-term results.
Founder and CEO Jeff Bezos is the driver of the customer obsession principle:
It has been the guiding principle behind Amazon since it began. “Jeff has been focused on the customer since Day 1,” said Suresh Kotha, a management professor at the University of Washington business school who has written several case studies about Amazon. Mr. Miller noted that Amazon has really had only one stated goal since it began: to be the most customer-centric company in the world.
Pete Abilla (over at Shumla.com) has written about Bezos as well.

But many on Wall Street don't appreciate that view:
Wall Street, however, has never placed much value in Mr. Bezos’ emphasis on customers. What he has viewed as money well spent — building customer loyalty — many investors saw as giving away money that should have gone to the bottom line. “What makes their core business so compelling is that they are focused on everything the customer wants,” said Scott W. Devitt, who follows Amazon for Stifel Nicolaus & Company. “When you act in that manner many times Wall Street doesn’t appreciate it.” What Wall Street wanted from Amazon is what it always wants: short-term results. That is precisely what Dell tried to give investors when it scrimped on customer service and what eBay did when it heaped new costs on its most dedicated sellers. Eventually, these short-sighted decisions caught up with both companies.
So what are the parallels to Lean or the Toyota Production System?

1) Customer focus -- Lean teaches us to focus on customer needs and to realize that value is defined by the customer

2) Long-term thinking -- principle #1 of The Toyota Way says to base decisions on the long-term, even at the expense of the short-term.

Toyota's stock (TM) was down 24% last year even though they became the #1 sales volume automaker in the world. Toyota apparently isn't trying too hard to manipulate their short-term stock price. At least one analyst praises their long-term thinking:

Long-range planning is one reason Mr. Yoshida of UBS remains upbeat on Toyota. "They aren't looking 10 kilometers down the road, they are looking 100 kilometers down the road," he says.

Then again, Amazon's stock has doubled in the last 12 months, so they aren't being punished too badly by the Street. The WSJ listed Toyota as a good stock buy... but the law of averages kicks in and stocks that underperform one year tend to recover the next...

But I don't obsessive track stock prices. What I do know, as a customer, is that Amazon is consistently offering new, innovative services and is doing their best to take care of customers. I remember, back in 1998, when it was impossible to find a phone customer service rep for Amazon (they wanted you to do it all online). They've evolved and started offering phone service as their customer base grew. I'd bet Toyota and Amazon both have a good decade ahead.

Now that I've written my "love letter" to Amazon, I'm sure some of you have customer service beefs with them... feel free to use the comments feature. In terms of your company, how are you balancing the short-term of customer service "costs" versus long-term customer loyalty? Would you deliver the "free" PS3 or not?


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